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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama
⚡ Match Analysis

Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
17%
18%
Vissel Kobe winDrawFagiano Okayama win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.52Avg goals scored1.18
1.36Avg goals conceded1.51
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Vissel Kobe xG

Expected goals

1.2

Fagiano Okayama xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Vissel Kobeall timeFagiano Okayama
2W
5 Apr 26
Fagiano Okayama1–4Vissel Kobe
3 May 25
Vissel Kobe2–0Fagiano Okayama

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vissel Kobe vs Fagiano Okayama?

Vissel Kobe is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vissel Kobe's current form?

Vissel Kobe have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 J1 League meetings, Vissel Kobe won 2, drew 0, and Fagiano Okayama won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vissel Kobe Win65%
Draw17%
Fagiano Okayama Win18%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers