🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Vvaren Nagasaki xG
Expected goals
1
Mito Hollyhock xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
8%
1–1
8%
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
Home
Away
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Who is favored to win Vvaren Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?
Vvaren Nagasaki is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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