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PaceScore/🇯🇵 J1 League/Vvaren Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock
⚡ Match Analysis

Vvaren Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock

🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
18%
14%
Vvaren Nagasaki winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.60
0.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded2.10
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Vvaren Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

1

Mito Hollyhock xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

⚽

Vvaren Nagasaki

No data

Away

Mito Hollyhock

Mito Hollyhock

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vvaren Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock?

Vvaren Nagasaki is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vvaren Nagasaki Win68%
Draw18%
Mito Hollyhock Win14%
BTTS57%
Over 2.566%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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More from J1 League

→ J1 League Standings→ Fixtures→ Top Scorers