Match Analysis

V-Varen NagasakivsSanfrecce Hiroshima

JPN J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

6%
12%
82%
V-Varen Nagasaki winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.21Avg goals scored2.40
1.65Avg goals conceded0.62
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected goals

2.7

Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

13%

0–3

12%

0–1

10%

0–4

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

7%

Home

V-Varen Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is V-Varen Nagasaki's current form?

V-Varen Nagasaki have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

V-Varen Nagasaki Win6%
Draw12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win82%
BTTS42%
Over 2.564%