⚡ Match Analysis
Yokohama F Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
🇯🇵 J1 League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
10%
17%
73%
Yokohama F. Marinos winDrawKashima Antlers win
Key Stats
1.20Points per game2.40
1.43Avg goals scored1.63
1.82Avg goals conceded0.55
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Yokohama F. Marinos xG
Expected goals
2.3
Kashima Antlers xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
13%
0–1
11%
0–3
10%
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $86K volume
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Yokohama F. Marinos
10%
22%
-12%
Draw
17%
—
—
Kashima Antlers
73%
78%
-5%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Yokohama F. Marinos
LLWWL
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Kashima Antlers
WWLWW
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Yokohama F Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?
Kashima Antlers is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Yokohama F Marinos's current form?
Yokohama F Marinos have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Yokohama F. Marinos Win10%
Draw17%
Kashima Antlers Win73%
BTTS45%
Over 2.558%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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