Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Abha xG
Expected goals
2.1
Al Kholood xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
12%
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $27K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Abha
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.7
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Al Kholood
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Kholood?
Al Kholood is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Abha's current form?
Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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