Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
32%
39%
Abha winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.60
0.68Avg goals scored0.81
1.74Avg goals conceded1.50
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Abha xG

Expected goals

1

Al Shabab xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

17%

0–1

17%

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–2

8%

1–2

7%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Shabab?

Al Shabab is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win29%
Draw32%
Al Shabab Win39%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%