Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Ettifaq

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
16%
18%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Ettifaq win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.34Avg goals scored1.50
1.51Avg goals conceded1.55
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

1.6

Al Ettifaq xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–1

5%

2–0

5%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Ettifaq

Al Ettifaq

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Ahli is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win66%
Draw16%
Al Ettifaq Win18%
BTTS76%
Over 2.584%