Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Hazem

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

69%
17%
14%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Hazem win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
2.34Avg goals scored0.96
1.51Avg goals conceded1.28
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

1

Al Hazem xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Hazem

Al Hazem

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Hazem?

Al Ahli is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win69%
Draw17%
Al Hazem Win14%
BTTS58%
Over 2.568%