Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Al Ahli xG
Expected goals
2.4
Al Nassr xG
80%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
1–3
5%
Home
Al Ahli
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ahli's current form?
Al Ahli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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