Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
19%
46%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
2.34Avg goals scored2.15
1.51Avg goals conceded1.05
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

2.4

Al Nassr xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

1–3

5%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win35%
Draw19%
Al Nassr Win46%
BTTS80%
Over 2.583%