Match Analysis

Al DiriyahvsAbha

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
26%
8%
Al Diriyah winDrawAbha win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.40
1.01Avg goals scored0.68
0.71Avg goals conceded1.74
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Al Diriyah xG

Expected goals

0.3

Abha xG

20%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

25%

2–0

19%

0–0

17%

3–0

9%

1–1

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Diriyah vs Abha?

Al Diriyah is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Diriyah's current form?

Al Diriyah have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 20%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Diriyah Win66%
Draw26%
Abha Win8%
BTTS20%
Over 2.527%