Match Analysis

Al DiriyahvsNeom SC

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
33%
41%
Al Diriyah winDrawNeom SC win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.01Avg goals scored1.98
0.71Avg goals conceded0.87
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Al Diriyah xG

Expected goals

1

Neom SC xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

18%

0–1

18%

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–2

9%

1–2

6%

Home

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Neom SC

Neom SC

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Diriyah vs Neom SC?

Neom SC is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Diriyah's current form?

Al Diriyah have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Diriyah Win26%
Draw33%
Neom SC Win41%
BTTS32%
Over 2.524%