Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
29%
60%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.67Avg goals scored1.01
1.76Avg goals conceded0.71
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

1.3

Al Diriyah xG

24%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

24%

0–0

18%

0–2

15%

1–1

9%

0–3

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

LDDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Diriyah?

Al Diriyah is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win11%
Draw29%
Al Diriyah Win60%
BTTS24%
Over 2.524%