Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Riyadh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
23%
29%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Riyadh win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
1.21Avg goals scored1.09
1.81Avg goals conceded1.85
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

1.4

Al Riyadh xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Riyadh?

Al Faisaly is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win48%
Draw23%
Al Riyadh Win29%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%