Match Analysis

Al FatehvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
31%
57%
Al Fateh winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.65Avg goals scored1.01
1.62Avg goals conceded0.71
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Al Fateh xG

Expected goals

1.2

Al Diriyah xG

23%

Both Teams to Score

22%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

24%

0–0

20%

0–2

15%

1–1

10%

1–0

8%

0–3

6%

Home

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

LLDDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah?

Al Diriyah is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fateh's current form?

Al Fateh have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fateh Win12%
Draw31%
Al Diriyah Win57%
BTTS23%
Over 2.522%