Match Analysis

Al FayhavsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
14%
76%
Al Fayha winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
1.00Avg goals scored2.70
1.50Avg goals conceded1.19
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Al Fayha xG

Expected goals

2.9

Al Ahli xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

6%

0–4

6%

Home

Al Fayha

Al Fayha

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fayha vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fayha's current form?

Al Fayha have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fayha Win10%
Draw14%
Al Ahli Win76%
BTTS60%
Over 2.575%