Match Analysis

Al HazemvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
21%
64%
Al Hazem winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.96Avg goals scored2.15
1.28Avg goals conceded1.05
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Al Hazem xG

Expected goals

2

Al Nassr xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

0–2

12%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Al Hazem

Al Hazem

LWDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hazem's current form?

Al Hazem have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hazem Win15%
Draw21%
Al Nassr Win64%
BTTS48%
Over 2.553%