Match Analysis

Al HilalvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
19%
9%
Al Hilal winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.60
3.27Avg goals scored1.01
0.68Avg goals conceded0.71
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Al Hilal xG

Expected goals

0.5

Al Diriyah xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

17%

2–0

16%

3–0

10%

0–0

9%

1–1

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?

Al Hilal is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hilal's current form?

Al Hilal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hilal Win72%
Draw19%
Al Diriyah Win9%
BTTS33%
Over 2.543%