Al Hilalvs
Al Diriyah
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Al Hilal xG
Expected goals
0.5
Al Diriyah xG
33%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
2–0
16%
3–0
10%
0–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–1
8%
Home
Al Hilal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.3 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Al Diriyah
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Diriyah?
Al Hilal is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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