Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Al Hilal xG
Expected goals
0.5
Al Hazem xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
13%
2–0
11%
4–0
11%
5–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–0
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $40K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Al Hilal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.3 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Al Hazem
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Hazem?
Al Hilal is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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