Match Analysis

Al IttihadvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
20%
25%
Al Ittihad winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.79Avg goals scored2.34
0.87Avg goals conceded1.51
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Al Ittihad xG

Expected goals

1.5

Al Ahli xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli?

Al Ittihad is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ittihad's current form?

Al Ittihad have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ittihad Win55%
Draw20%
Al Ahli Win25%
BTTS70%
Over 2.573%