Match Analysis

Al KhaleejvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

5%
15%
80%
Al Khaleej winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
0.45Avg goals scored2.15
1.46Avg goals conceded1.05
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Al Khaleej xG

Expected goals

2.3

Al Nassr xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

18%

0–1

15%

0–3

14%

0–4

8%

0–0

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Al Khaleej

Al Khaleej

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Khaleej vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Khaleej's current form?

Al Khaleej have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Khaleej Win5%
Draw15%
Al Nassr Win80%
BTTS30%
Over 2.551%