Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Al Nassr xG
Expected goals
0.5
Abha xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
2–0
13%
4–0
11%
1–0
8%
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Al Nassr
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Abha
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.7
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Abha?
Al Nassr is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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