Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAbha

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

88%
9%
3%
Al Nassr winDrawAbha win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
2.15Avg goals scored0.68
1.05Avg goals conceded1.74
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

0.5

Abha xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

14%

2–0

13%

4–0

11%

1–0

8%

2–1

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Abha?

Al Nassr is favored with a 88% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win88%
Draw9%
Abha Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.570%