Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Kholood

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
17%
17%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Kholood win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
2.15Avg goals scored1.66
1.05Avg goals conceded1.45
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.6

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1.3

Al Kholood xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

6%

3–0

6%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Kholood

Al Kholood

LWDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Al Nassr is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win66%
Draw17%
Al Kholood Win17%
BTTS67%
Over 2.575%