Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

81%
13%
6%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
2.15Avg goals scored0.81
1.05Avg goals conceded1.50
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

0.6

Al Shabab xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

13%

3–0

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

8%

4–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?

Al Nassr is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win81%
Draw13%
Al Shabab Win6%
BTTS42%
Over 2.564%