Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Al Nassr xG
Expected goals
0.6
Al Shabab xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
3–0
12%
1–0
10%
2–1
8%
4–0
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Al Nassr
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Al Shabab
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?
Al Nassr is favored with a 81% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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