Match Analysis

Al NassrvsNeom SC

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
24%
37%
Al Nassr winDrawNeom SC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
2.15Avg goals scored1.98
1.05Avg goals conceded0.87
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1.5

Neom SC xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Neom SC

Neom SC

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Neom SC?

Al Nassr is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win39%
Draw24%
Neom SC Win37%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%