Match Analysis

Al QadsiahvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
17%
27%
Al Qadsiah winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
2.35Avg goals scored2.34
1.23Avg goals conceded1.51
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Al Qadsiah xG

Expected goals

2.1

Al Ahli xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

4–2

5%

1–1

4%

Home

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

LDWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

Al Qadsiah is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Qadsiah's current form?

Al Qadsiah have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Qadsiah Win56%
Draw17%
Al Ahli Win27%
BTTS83%
Over 2.588%