Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
Al Qadsiah xG
Expected goals
2.1
Al Ahli xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
4–2
5%
1–1
4%
Home
Al Qadsiah
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Al Ahli
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
Al Qadsiah is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Qadsiah's current form?
Al Qadsiah have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League