Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Ettifaq

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
24%
54%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Ettifaq win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.09Avg goals scored1.31
1.85Avg goals conceded1.15
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

1.7

Al Ettifaq xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Ettifaq

Al Ettifaq

DDDDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Ettifaq is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win22%
Draw24%
Al Ettifaq Win54%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%