Match Analysis

Al RiyadhvsAl Hilal

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
5%
92%
Al Riyadh winDrawAl Hilal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.40
1.11Avg goals scored3.27
2.10Avg goals conceded0.68
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Al Riyadh xG

Expected goals

4

Al Hilal xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

11%

0–4

11%

0–5

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

Home

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

WDLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.3 / 0.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal?

Al Hilal is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Riyadh's current form?

Al Riyadh have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Riyadh Win3%
Draw5%
Al Hilal Win92%
BTTS44%
Over 2.584%