Al Riyadhvs
Al Ittihad
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Al Riyadh xG
Expected goals
2.7
Al Ittihad xG
51%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
11%
0–3
10%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
1–3
8%
0–4
7%
Home
Al Riyadh
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Al Ittihad
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Riyadh vs Al Ittihad?
Al Ittihad is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Riyadh's current form?
Al Riyadh have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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