Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Al Shabab xG
Expected goals
2.5
Al Ahli xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
9%
1–2
9%
0–1
8%
0–3
8%
1–1
8%
1–3
8%
Home
Al Shabab
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Al Ahli
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Shabab vs Al Ahli?
Al Ahli is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Shabab's current form?
Al Shabab have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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