Al Shababvs
Al Faisaly
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Al Shabab xG
Expected goals
0.7
Al Faisaly xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
18%
0–0
15%
1–1
13%
2–0
11%
0–1
10%
2–1
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $40K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Al Shabab
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Al Faisaly
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Shabab vs Al Faisaly?
Al Shabab is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Shabab's current form?
Al Shabab have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League