Match Analysis

Neom SCvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
23%
47%
Neom SC winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.60
1.41Avg goals scored2.70
0.92Avg goals conceded1.19
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Neom SC xG

Expected goals

1.7

Al Ahli xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Neom SC

Neom SC

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Neom SC vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Neom SC's current form?

Neom SC have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Neom SC Win30%
Draw23%
Al Ahli Win47%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%