Bangkok United vs Bg Pathum United
THA Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Bangkok United xG
Expected goals
2.1
BG Pathum United xG
82%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
6%
2–2
6%
3–1
6%
3–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–3
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.6M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Bangkok United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.4 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
BG Pathum United
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
3.0 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bangkok United vs Bg Pathum United?
Bangkok United is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bangkok United's current form?
Bangkok United have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Bangkok United won 4, drew 1, and Bg Pathum United won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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