⚡ Match Analysis
Bg Pathum United vs Pt Prachuap
🇹🇭 Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
50%
36%
14%
BG Pathum United winDrawPT Prachuap win
Key Stats
2.20Points per game1.80
1.56Avg goals scored1.31
0.76Avg goals conceded1.10
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–0–2
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
BG Pathum United xG
Expected goals
0.8
PT Prachuap xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
12%
2–0
12%
0–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–1
7%
Home
BG Pathum United
WDWDW
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
⚽
PT Prachuap
LWWWL
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Bg Pathum Unitedall timePt Prachuap
2W
4D
10 May 26
BG Pathum United3–0PT Prachuap
16 Aug 25
PT Prachuap2–2BG Pathum United
22 Feb 25
BG Pathum United1–0PT Prachuap
5 Oct 24
PT Prachuap2–2BG Pathum United
10 Feb 24
PT Prachuap1–1BG Pathum United
18 Aug 23
BG Pathum United0–0PT Prachuap
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bg Pathum United vs Pt Prachuap?
BG Pathum United is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bg Pathum United's current form?
Bg Pathum United have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Bg Pathum United won 2, drew 4, and Pt Prachuap won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
BG Pathum United Win50%
Draw36%
PT Prachuap Win14%
BTTS44%
Over 2.543%
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Thai Premier League