⚡ Match Analysis
Buriram United vs Lamphun Warriors
🇹🇭 Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
52%
29%
19%
Buriram United winDrawLamphun Warriors win
Key Stats
0.80Points per game1.20
1.79Avg goals scored0.82
1.47Avg goals conceded0.87
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Buriram United xG
Expected goals
0.9
Lamphun Warriors xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
2–0
10%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
Home
Buriram United
DLLWL
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
⚽
Lamphun Warriors
DDDLW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.9
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Buriram Unitedall timeLamphun Warriors
4W
2D
10 May 26
Buriram United1–1Lamphun Warriors
16 Aug 25
Lamphun Warriors2–3Buriram United
26 Mar 25
Lamphun Warriors1–2Buriram United
26 Oct 24
Buriram United1–1Lamphun Warriors
11 Feb 24
Lamphun Warriors1–2Buriram United
20 Aug 23
Buriram United3–0Lamphun Warriors
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Buriram United vs Lamphun Warriors?
Buriram United is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Buriram United's current form?
Buriram United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Buriram United won 4, drew 2, and Lamphun Warriors won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Buriram United Win52%
Draw29%
Lamphun Warriors Win19%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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