Chiangrai United vs Buriram United
THA Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Chiangrai United xG
Expected goals
1
Buriram United xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
22%
0–1
22%
0–2
11%
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $27K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Chiangrai United
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Buriram United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chiangrai United vs Buriram United?
Buriram United is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chiangrai United's current form?
Chiangrai United have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Chiangrai United won 0, drew 1, and Buriram United won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 19%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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