⚡ Match Analysis
Chonburi Fc vs Nakhon Ratchasima Fc
🇹🇭 Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
53%
31%
16%
Chonburi FC winDrawNakhon Ratchasima FC win
Key Stats
1.60Points per game1.20
1.52Avg goals scored0.72
1.38Avg goals conceded1.07
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Chonburi FC xG
Expected goals
0.8
Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
12%
2–0
11%
0–0
10%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
Home
Chonburi FC
WDDLW
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
LWLLW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Chonburi Fcall timeNakhon Ratchasima Fc
1W
1D
10 May 26
Chonburi FC2–1Nakhon Ratchasima FC
16 Aug 25
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0–0Chonburi FC
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chonburi Fc vs Nakhon Ratchasima Fc?
Chonburi FC is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chonburi Fc's current form?
Chonburi Fc have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Thai Premier League meetings, Chonburi Fc won 1, drew 1, and Nakhon Ratchasima Fc won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Chonburi FC Win53%
Draw31%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Win16%
BTTS43%
Over 2.540%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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