⚡ Match Analysis
Chonburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima
🇹🇭 Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
53%
31%
16%
Chonburi winDrawNakhon Ratchasima win
Key Stats
1.60Points per game1.20
1.56Avg goals scored0.72
1.40Avg goals conceded1.07
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Chonburi xG
Expected goals
0.8
Nakhon Ratchasima xG
43%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
12%
2–0
11%
0–0
10%
2–1
9%
0–1
8%
Home
Chonburi
WDDLW
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Nakhon Ratchasima
LWLLW
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Chonburiall timeNakhon Ratchasima
1W
1D
10 May 26
Chonburi2–1Nakhon Ratchasima
16 Aug 25
Nakhon Ratchasima0–0Chonburi
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chonburi vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Chonburi is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chonburi's current form?
Chonburi have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Thai Premier League meetings, Chonburi won 1, drew 1, and Nakhon Ratchasima won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Chonburi Win53%
Draw31%
Nakhon Ratchasima Win16%
BTTS43%
Over 2.540%
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