⚡ Match Analysis
Sukhothai Fc vs Muangthong United
🇹🇭 Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
35%
22%
43%
Sukhothai FC winDrawMuangthong United win
Key Stats
0.80Points per game1.60
0.97Avg goals scored0.85
1.40Avg goals conceded1.32
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Sukhothai FC xG
Expected goals
0.9
Muangthong United xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
0–1
11%
2–0
9%
2–1
8%
Home
⚽
Sukhothai FC
WLLDL
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Muangthong United
LDDWW
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Sukhothai Fcall timeMuangthong United
1W
5W
10 May 26
Sukhothai FC3–0Muangthong United
16 Aug 25
Muangthong United1–0Sukhothai FC
2 Feb 25
Sukhothai FC1–3Muangthong United
15 Sep 24
Muangthong United4–2Sukhothai FC
4 May 24
Muangthong United5–0Sukhothai FC
12 Dec 23
Sukhothai FC1–2Muangthong United
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sukhothai Fc vs Muangthong United?
Muangthong United is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sukhothai Fc's current form?
Sukhothai Fc have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Sukhothai Fc won 1, drew 0, and Muangthong United won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
Sukhothai FC Win35%
Draw22%
Muangthong United Win43%
BTTS41%
Over 2.535%
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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
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