Match Analysis

Uthai Thani Fc vs Bg Pathum United

THA Thai Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
23%
46%
Uthai Thani Fc winDrawBg Pathum United win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Uthai Thani Fc xG

Expected goals

1.3

Bg Pathum United xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

Uthai Thani Fc

No data

Away

Bg Pathum United

No data

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Uthai Thani Fcall timeBg Pathum United
1D
5W
25 Jan 26
BG Pathum United40Uthai Thani FC
12 Sep 25
Uthai Thani FC01BG Pathum United
29 Mar 25
Uthai Thani FC11BG Pathum United
9 Nov 24
BG Pathum United21Uthai Thani FC
15 Feb 24
BG Pathum United20Uthai Thani FC
28 Aug 23
Uthai Thani FC02BG Pathum United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Uthai Thani Fc vs Bg Pathum United?

Bg Pathum United is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Thai Premier League meetings, Uthai Thani Fc won 0, drew 1, and Bg Pathum United won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Uthai Thani Fc Win31%
Draw23%
Bg Pathum United Win46%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi