Match Analysis

AlbaniavsFinland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
28%
45%
Albania winDrawFinland win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.99Avg goals scored2.12
0.78Avg goals conceded0.53
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Albania xG

Expected goals

1.3

Finland xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Albania

Albania

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Albania vs Finland?

Finland is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Albania's current form?

Albania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Albania Win27%
Draw28%
Finland Win45%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%