Match Analysis

CroatiavsCzechia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
20%
22%
Croatia winDrawCzechia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
0.97Avg goals scored0.49
3.54Avg goals conceded2.53
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Croatia xG

Expected goals

1.4

Czechia xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Croatia

Croatia

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Croatia vs Czechia?

Croatia is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Croatia's current form?

Croatia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Croatia Win58%
Draw20%
Czechia Win22%
BTTS68%
Over 2.571%