Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
England xG
Expected goals
0.5
Croatia xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
12%
4–0
12%
2–0
9%
5–0
9%
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
Home
England
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Croatia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win England vs Croatia?
England is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is England's current form?
England have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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