Match Analysis

GreecevsSerbia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
15%
6%
Greece winDrawSerbia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.00
1.22Avg goals scored0.74
0.75Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Greece xG

Expected goals

0.4

Serbia xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

18%

1–0

15%

3–0

14%

4–0

8%

0–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Greece vs Serbia?

Greece is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Greece's current form?

Greece have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Greece Win79%
Draw15%
Serbia Win6%
BTTS30%
Over 2.551%