Match Analysis

KazakhstanvsSlovakia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
9%
87%
Kazakhstan winDrawSlovakia win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.80
1.27Avg goals scored2.29
1.77Avg goals conceded0.50
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Kazakhstan xG

Expected goals

3.3

Slovakia xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

12%

0–2

11%

0–4

10%

0–1

7%

0–5

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Slovakia

Slovakia

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?

Slovakia is favored with a 87% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kazakhstan's current form?

Kazakhstan have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kazakhstan Win4%
Draw9%
Slovakia Win87%
BTTS43%
Over 2.575%