Match Analysis

LatviavsArmenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
31%
50%
Latvia winDrawArmenia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.53Avg goals scored0.94
1.52Avg goals conceded1.24
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Latvia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Armenia xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

20%

0–0

17%

0–2

12%

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

1–2

7%

Home

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Latvia vs Armenia?

Armenia is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Latvia's current form?

Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Latvia Win19%
Draw31%
Armenia Win50%
BTTS32%
Over 2.527%