Match Analysis

LuxembourgvsEstonia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

14%
45%
41%
Luxembourg winDrawEstonia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
0.46Avg goals scored0.49
1.75Avg goals conceded0.23
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Luxembourg xG

Expected goals

0.7

Estonia xG

13%

Both Teams to Score

8%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

37%

0–1

26%

1–0

11%

0–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–2

3%

Home

Luxembourg

Luxembourg

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Estonia

Estonia

DWDDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Luxembourg vs Estonia?

Estonia is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Luxembourg's current form?

Luxembourg have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (37% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 13%. Over 2.5 goals: 8%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Luxembourg Win14%
Draw45%
Estonia Win41%
BTTS13%
Over 2.58%