Netherlands vs Serbia
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Netherlands xG
Expected goals
1.3
Serbia xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $1.5M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Netherlands
Away
Serbia
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Netherlands vs Serbia?
Netherlands is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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