Match Analysis

North MacedoniavsSlovenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
15%
74%
North Macedonia winDrawSlovenia win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.00Avg goals scored1.28
2.50Avg goals conceded0.79
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

North Macedonia xG

Expected goals

2.6

Slovenia xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

10%

0–3

9%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–3

8%

1–1

7%

Home

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Slovenia

Slovenia

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win North Macedonia vs Slovenia?

Slovenia is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is North Macedonia's current form?

North Macedonia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

North Macedonia Win11%
Draw15%
Slovenia Win74%
BTTS55%
Over 2.568%