Match Analysis

Northern IrelandvsUkraine

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
30%
15%
Northern Ireland winDrawUkraine win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
1.00Avg goals scored0.50
0.00Avg goals conceded1.32
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Northern Ireland xG

Expected goals

0.5

Ukraine xG

27%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

22%

0–0

18%

2–0

13%

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

2–1

7%

Home

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Northern Ireland's current form?

Northern Ireland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Northern Ireland Win55%
Draw30%
Ukraine Win15%
BTTS27%
Over 2.524%