Match Analysis

AlavésvsDeportivo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
25%
27%
Alavés winDrawDeportivo win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.20
1.35Avg goals scored1.50
1.12Avg goals conceded1.52
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Alavés xG

Expected goals

1.1

Deportivo xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Alavés

Alavés

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Deportivo

Deportivo

DDLDW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Alavés vs Deportivo?

Alavés is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Alavés's current form?

Alavés have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Alavés Win48%
Draw25%
Deportivo Win27%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%